March 3, 2013

2013 NBA Draft Big Board: Guards Take Over Top 10

#3 Trey Burke, PG, Michigan

It's been 8 months since I updated my 2013 NBA Draft Big Board, so you know some major changes take place. Two talented wing players top the big board, while plenty of big men are in the top 10.

2013 NBA Draft Prospect Rankings:

1. Ben McLemore, SG, Kansas
Ht: 6-5 Wt: 185 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: Ben McLemore has been rising all season long, and has a serious shot at being the number one overall pick come June. A talented scorer with the ability to take over games, McLemore does need to improve his ability to create for himself, but he's a top 5 lock.

Previous Rank: 1

2. Shabazz Muhammad, SF, UCLA
Ht: 6-6 Wt: 225 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: Another NBA prospect in a weak draft with star potential, Shabazz Muhammad looks like a potential one-and-done player. He'll enter the NBA already an impressive scorer, but he can still improve some areas of his game, such as being better with his off-hand.

Previous Rank: 2

3. Nerlens Noel, C, Kentucky
Ht: 6-10 Wt: 228 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: Noel could still be the first pick in the NBA draft after tearing his ACL a little less than a month ago. He'll enter the NBA as an impact player on the defensive end, but will need to work on his offense in order to maximize his talents.

Previous Rank: 3

4. Anthony Bennett, PF, UNLV
Ht: 6-8 Wt: 240 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: A bit of a tweener, but Anthony Bennett is a a potential top 5 pick who should be an impact player in year one. He can be an athletic wing scorer, as well as a physical player in the post.

Previous Rank: 4

5. Marcus Smart, PG, Oklahoma State
Ht: 6-4 Wt: 225 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: A combo guard with an NBA body, Marcus Smart is willing his team, and boosting his draft stock at the same time. Once he improves his shot, watch out.

Previous Rank: 5

6. Otto Porter, SF, Georgetown
Ht: 6-8 Wt: 205 lbs. | Class: Sophomore

Analysis: "Jack of all trades, master of none." That's Otter Porter. He may not be a superstar at the next level, but he will do everything at the next level well, but not anything great. You'd love to get a guy like him in the lottery.

Previous Rank: 6

7. Cody Zeller, C, Indiana
Ht: 7-0 Wt: 240 lbs. | Class: Sophomore

Analysis: Zeller hasn't improved much since his freshman season. He will struggle with more athletic fours in the NBA, which is why he projects best as a center. His ceiling isn't very high, but his floor is. His offensive game is very polished.

Previous Rank: 7

8. Victor Oladipo, SG, Indiana
Ht: 6-5 Wt: 214 lbs. | Class: Junior

Analysis: Oladipo has gone from a second round pick to a solid lottery selection. He is tenacious defender who can guard multiple positions. Combine that with his improved shooting ability, and you've got a solid NBA starter.

Previous Rank: 8

9. Alex Len, C, Maryland
Ht: 7-1 Wt: 255 lbs. | Class: Sophomore

Analysis: When he gets his touches, Alex Len proves why he is potentially a top 5 pick. He's a talented center prospect who has gotten stronger, and much better on the defensive and offensive ends.

Previous Rank: 9

10. Trey Burke, PG, Michigan
Ht: 6-0 Wt: 190 lbs. | Class: Sophomore

Analysis: If not for his size, Burke would be a top 10 pick, and he still could be. He does everything so well, and has the potential to be an elite floor general.

Previous Rank: 10

11. Isaiah Austin, C, Baylor
Ht: 7-1 Wt: 220 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: A finesse big who will need to get stronger, Isaiah Austin has a ton of potential as an NBA prospect. He has a versatile offensive game, and has great length for a shot blocker. He shouldn't get out of the lottery.

Previous Rank: 11

12. Rudy Gobert, PF, France
Ht: 7-1 Wt: 231 lbs. | Class: International '92

Analysis: Rudy Gobert has the tools, but he needs work on the offensive end. He'll still be able to contribute early. His size, length, and athleticism are what have scouts excited about his pro prospects.

Previous Rank: 12

13. Michael Carter-Williams, PG, Syracuse
Ht: 6-6 Wt: 185 lbs. | Class: Sophomore

Analysis: Michael Carter-Williams has developed into a true point guard at Syracuse. His size and length will help against NBA point guards, and he will be even better once he improves as a shooter.

Previous Rank: 13

14. Alex Poythress, SF, Kentucky
Ht: 6-7 Wt: 239 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: Alex Poythress has so much talent, but is too inconsistent. He has the ability to be a dangerous scorer in the NBA, and someone should take a chance in the late lottery.

Previous Rank: 14

15. Mason Plumlee, PF, Duke
Ht: 6-10 Wt: 235 lbs. | Class: Senior

Analysis: Plumlee has pushed his stock into the late lottery. He has shown improvement this season, and proved that he is more than just an athletic four.

Previous Rank: 15

16. C.J. McCollum, SG, Lehigh
Ht: 6-3 Wt: 200 lbs. | Class: Senior

Analysis: The injury could impact his stock, but NBA teams are looking for high volume scorers like C.J. McCollum. Whether you view him as a "non-true" point, or an undersized 2, McCollum should be able to come off the bench and give a team a spark.

Previous Rank: 16

17. James Michael McAdoo, PF, North Carolina
Ht: 6-9 Wt: 230 lbs. | Class: Sophomore

Analysis: It is tough to figure out McAdoo. He's got an old school game, but where do you play him? And what's his ceiling? He's got an NBA body and skill set, but hasn't really put it together. There is still enough talent to consider him in the late lottery.

Previous Rank: 17

18. Glenn Robinson III, SF, Michigan
Ht: 6-6 Wt: 210 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: Another talented freshman, Glenn Robinson III will be in the lottery discussion if he declares. Robinson III is an explosive athlete who can finish at the rim, and can shoot the three. He has great physical tools, but will need to develop his game further to be truly great.

Previous Rank: 18

19. Dario Šarić, SF, Croatia
Ht: 6-10 Wt: 215 lbs. | Class: International '94

Analysis: Šarić has great height and length for the small forward position, but isn't a great athlete. Has a great feel for the game, and depending on where you play him, could be a special NBA player.

Previous Rank: 19

20. Steven Adams, C, Pittsburgh
Ht: 7-0 Wt: 250 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: Adams has a ton of potential. He is starting to figure it out, and would be better off returning to school to improve his game, but don't be surprised if he ends up a high lottery pick.

Previous Rank: 20

21. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG, Georgia
Ht: 6-5 Wt: 205 lbs. | Class: Sophomore

Analysis: KCP has improved as a shooter this season. He is a pretty good athlete, and has the upside to be a solid starting two in the NBA.

Previous Rank: 21

22. Tony Mitchell, PF, North Texas
Ht: 6-8 Wt: 235 lbs. | Class: Sophomore

Analysis: Mitchell hasn't improved much since his freshman year, which has concerned scouts. He projects best as a 4, and has the talent to be a star if he hones in on his potential.

Previous Rank: 22

23. Jamaal Franklin, SG, San Diego State
Ht: 6-5 Wt: 205 lbs. | Class: Junior

Analysis: Franklin is one of the best rebounding guards in the country. Combine that with his athleticism and scoring ability, and you've got a top prospect. What's holding him back are his on-ball defense and 3 point shooting.

Previous Rank: 23

24. Jeff Withey, C, Kansas
Ht: 7-0 Wt: 235 lbs. | Class: Senior

Analysis: Size, length, rebounding, shot blocking. Withey does the things you want your center to do very well. Still a little raw on the offensive end, but will be a solid NBA player.

Previous Rank: 24

25. Myck Kabongo, PG, Texas
Ht: 6-1 Wt: 180 lbs. | Class: Sophomore

Analysis: Kabongo is a natural point guard, but still needs to become a more consistent shooter. He hasn't had much time to improve his stock, but he's on the first round bubble.

Previous Rank: 25

26. B.J. Young, SG, Arkansas
Ht: 6-3 Wt: 180 lbs. | Class: Sophomore

Analysis: Young is a combo guard who doesn't have great size to be a 2, and not enough skills to be a 1. He projects best as a bench scorer.

Previous Rank: 26

27. Willie Cauley-Stein, C, Kentucky
Ht: 7-0 Wt: 244 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: Based on size and potential, Cauley-Stein could be a mid-late first round pick. He can make an immediate impact on the defensive end, but his offensive game needs work, especially his free throw shooting.

Previous Rank: 27

28. Archie Goodwin, SG, Kentucky
Ht: 6-4 Wt: 198 lbs. | Class: Freshman

Analysis: An explosive athlete who can get to the rim, Goodwin needs to work on his outside shot, and his all-around game. The talent is there for a team to snatch him in the lottery, but I'm not convinced that he is ready to make the jump to the NBA.

Previous Rank: 28

29. Deshaun Thomas, SF, Ohio State
Ht: 6-7 Wt: 225 lbs. | Class: Junior

Analysis: Still has to improve on the defensive end, but Thomas has the tools to be a solid NBA starter, and at worst, a strong contributor off the bench.

Previous Rank: 29

30. C.J. Leslie, SF, North Carolina State
Ht: 6-9 Wt: 200 lbs. | Class: Junior

Analysis: Leslie doesn't have the strength to be a 4, and doesn't have the shooting ability to be a 3. He is a superb athlete, and he can do certain things that NBA teams like.

Previous Rank: 30